France, which is now the clear consensus favorite to win the 2026 World Cup, dominated Morocco to get the World Cup quarterfinals underway yesterday afternoon.
Three more intriguing — if not exactly “evenly matched” — QF matchups are scheduled for the next two days.
Each team’s current odds to advance at FanDuel are listed below in parentheses, and all three games are available on FOX:
Spain (-355) vs. Belgium (+270) — Fri, 3 p.m. ET (SoFi Stadium)
Norway (+184) vs. England (-230) — Sat, 5 p.m. ET (Hard Rock Stadium)
Argentina (-325) vs. Switzerland (+250) — Sat, 9 p.m. ET (Arrowhead Stadium)
Let’s get right into it.
Spain vs. Belgium Betting Preview, Best Bets
Kickoff: Friday, 3 p.m. ET on FOX
3-Way Moneyline Odds (graded after 90 minutes) via FD
Spain: -165
Draw: +290
Belgium: +490
Given how dominant Spain have been defensively, it’s no surprise that they’re a massive favorite vs. Belgium today.
Spain’s ability to dominate possession and prevent scoring chances has allowed this team to record five straight shutouts at this tournament. It’s also a big reason why La Roja have the second-shortest odds to win this tournament (+410 at both DK and FD).
In Monday’s Round of 16 win over Portugal, Spain allowed just 2 shots on target, 0.63 xG and 1 big chance while winning the possession battle 55-45 against Portugal’s impressive midfield trio of João Neves, Bruno Fernandes and Vitinha.
Belgium is coming off an impressive R16 win over USA in which they capitalized on several bad mistakes by the Americans’ shaky back line and keeper. Belgium Manager Rudi Garcia rolled out a lineup without Jeremy Doku, Kevin De Bruyne or Romelu Lukaku and got four goals (on 7 shots on target, 2.01 xG and 4 big chances).
Otherwise, through five games at this World Cup, Belgium has not looked capable of beating a team like Spain, as their only other impressive stretch was a late rally to erase a 2-0 deficit and force extra time vs. Senegal.
Expect Spain to dominate possession this afternoon and limit Belgium to next to nothing offensively.
Outside of their blowout wins over Cape Verde in group play and Austria in the round of 32, Spain have not done a great job finishing their scoring opportunities, so I wouldn’t count on a lopsided final score. Still, I do expect the Euro 2024 champs to advance and record yet another shutout.
Spain got a late boost on Monday from Mikel Merino and Ferran Torres, who combined to produce the game-winner vs. Portugal, but Manager Luis de la Fuente is expected to stick with Alex Baena, Dani Olmo, Lamine Yamal and Mike Oyarzabal up top against Belgium.
Pick: Spain to advance
Best bets:
3-Way Moneyline/Total Parlay: Spain Win + Under 3.5 (+135 at DK) — 1 unit
3-Way ML/BTTS Parlay: Spain Win to Zero (+185 at DK) — 0.5 units
Norway vs. England Betting Preview, Best Bets
Kickoff: Saturday, 5 p.m. ET on FOX
3-Way Moneyline Odds (graded after 90 minutes) via FD
Norway: +310
Draw: +260
England: -115
One of the best stories this summer has been Erling Haaland, whose Norway side has already completed a memorable run in its first WC appearance since 1998.
Norway’s only loss at this World Cup came in a meaningless group stage finale against France, when Manager Ståle Solbakken played a lineup full of backups in a loss.
Norway handled Ivory Coast in the Round of 32 and Brazil in the Round of 16 to set up tomorrow afternoon’s must-see showdown with England.
Given the degree of difficulty of playing Mexico at Azteca while down a man for most of the second half, it’s hard to think of a more impressive R16 win than England’s.
Jude Bellingham turned in one of the best performances of the entire World Cup, and England looked like a different (much better) beast in attack with Anthony Gordon and Bukayo Saka flanking Harry Kane.
I wouldn’t rule out Haaland and Norway making this game interesting, especially if England makes any mistakes.
Norway’s supporting cast around Haaland is underrated, but it’s going to be overmatched, especially if England’s back line manages to limit Haaland. While that’s much easier said than done, I don’t think Norway is quite balanced enough to take down England.
Keep in mind, though, that England is dealing with a major issue on its back line.
With Reece James and Djed Spence both battling injuries and Round of 16 starter Jarell Quansah suspended, the starting right back tomorrow could be Ezri Konsa. Moving Konsa to RB would likely force Thomas Tuchel to bring in 32-year-old John Stones at center back.
That’s a lot of uncertainty against Haaland, who is already arguably the best pure goal-scorer in the world at age 25, and dangerous wingers Antonio Nusa and Alexander Sorloth.
Pick: England to advance
Best bet: Parlay England to qualify (-215) + Over 2.5 Goals (-142) at +128 at FD — 1 unit
Argentina vs. Switzerland Betting Preview, Best Bets
Kickoff: Saturday, 9 p.m. ET on FOX
3-Way Moneyline Odds (graded after 90 minutes) via FD
Argentina: -150
Draw: +250
Switzerland: +490
Writing off Switzerland in the Round of 16 backfired, but I still don’t like this team’s chances against Argentina in Kansas City on Saturday night.
Lionel Messi and Co. have been shaky the last two rounds, but I expect them to shut down Switzerland. The latter got past Colombia despite recording just 2 shots on target, 0 big chances and 0.39 xG in 120 minutes.
The Swiss could once again be without their top offensive weapon at this tournament, 20-year-old Johan Manzambi, on Saturday night. He is dealing with a knee injury that sidelined him against Colombia and could keep him out for the rest of this tournament.
I’m hesitant to put much on this game given how wild Argentina’s last two matches have been, but Argentina halftime/full time offers some value if you like the favorites’ chances of scoring early, then settling in and keeping Switzerland scoreless for the second match in a row.
There is also a player prop here that’s hard to resist right now: Switzerland keeper Gregor Kobel 4+ Saves — 90 Minutes (-110 at DK).
Kobel has topped 3 saves only once at this tournament, but Argentina promises to test the Swiss back line and Kobel in a very different way than Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Canada, Algeria or Colombia.
The Borussia Dortmund keeper has been outstanding throughout this World Cup, and he’s facing an Argentina side that has racked up at least 12 shots in each of its last four matches. Below is a game-by-game look at how many shots (and shots on target) Lionel Messi and Co. have racked up:
vs. Algeria (group): 10 shots (6 on target)
vs. Austria (group): 12 shots (5 on target)
vs. Jordan (group): 12 shots (4 on target)
vs. Cape Verde (R32): 22 shots (10 on target)
vs. Egypt (R16): 19 shots (7 on target)
Pick: Argentina to advance
Best bets:
Half Time/Full Time — Argentina/Argentina (+165 at DK) — 0.5 units
Saves (90 Minutes): Gregor Kobel 4+ (-110 at DK) — 1 unit

